Book Summary: The driver in the driverless car

Conditions the presage the leap into the future in any specific economic segment or type of service

  • Systemic requisite:
    • Widespread dissatisfaction – latent or overt with the status quo
  • Technology requisite:
    • Moore’s Law
      • Cheap computers
      • Cheap sensors – IOT
      • increase in Connection speed
      • Hand hosted AI
    • IOT
      • software
      • data connectivity
      • Handheld computing
    • Artificial Intelligence and Automation
      • Shift of discrete analog task into networked digital one

Five paradigms of computing

  • Electromechanical
  • Relay
  • Vaccuum tube
  • Discrete transistor
  • Integrated circuits – Moores’ Law

Current Concerns

  • Speed of technology evolution versus  speed of regulation – codified ethics
  • Equality, Risks and Dependency versus Autonomy
    • Does the technology have the potential to benefit everyone?
    • What are the risk and rewards?
    • Does the technology more strongly promote autonomy or dependence?
      • cheap software based technologies inexpensively scaled to reach millions-billions
      • the more revenue generated the more motivated developers would want to share it broadly

Future Concerns

  • Biometric theft
  • Merging of humans with computers
  • Extent of Gene alteration that is socially acceptable – new class of humans differentiated by genetic differences
    • mitigating health risk
    • higher intelligence
    • better looks
    • greater strength
  • Privacy will be a thing of the pass
  • Navigating technology trends as a navigator instead of a passenger
  • Large scale drone attacks

Artificial Intelligence

  • Definition: a cheap reliable industrial grade digital smartness running behind everything, Kevin Kelly, Editor of WIRED magazine
  •  Types
    • Narrow AI
    • Strong/General AI
      • Watson
  • Impact of existing human occupations
    • Doctors in health care
    • Lawyers

Education

  • Ancient Greece:
    • Socratic process whereby teacher guided students through the learning process by asking them questions
    • Education was privilege reserved for the elites
  • Middle Ages/Renaissance
    • Remained a priviledge
    • process of learning became more rote
    • more memorization
  • Online Education
    • Example: Khan academy
    • Researchers found people most likely to take advantage of online courses were those who need the least help
    • LA Unified: giving each student a tablet failed to move the needle
  • Minimally invasive Education, Mitra, New Delhi
    • NIIT building, Kalkaji slums
    • Key component of the learning process was the group dynamic
    • Self taught scholars learned as quick as school-bound peers
  • Self directed learning – flipped model of education
    • teacher no longer broadcast information, write lesson plans or stand in front of classes lecturing
    • teachers became coaches and guides to students needing additional help
    • students consumed recorded lectures or videos online at their own pace and in their own time
    • Teachers focus on judgment, nuances and emotional intelligence

Mores law and poverty

  • Comparatively poorer parts of the world will be able to leap frog into more modern and efficient era
    • wireless mobile phones
    • drones for deliver
    • Solar energy power plants
    • driver less cars
      • no need for traffic lights
      • freeways
      • Parking spaces
  • USA has no monopoly on innovation

Driver less Cars

  • Access versus ownership
  • Baidu, Google, Tesla
  • China
    • Bejing, Wuhu and Anhui
  • Singapore
  • city layouts become more flexible
  • commuting is less a hassle

Current trends

  • Plasma based water purification technology: kills 100% of bacteria and viruses
  • Energy

Further readings

  • How to create a mind: the secret of human thought revealed, Ray Krurzweil
  • The inevitable, Kevin Kelly
  • The internet of things: Mapping the value beyond Hype, McKinsey Global Institute
  • Infinite Resource: The Power of Ideas on Finite Planet
  • Abundance: The future is better than you think, Peter Diamandis

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