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A weird 2020 when 2008 repeated itself metaphorically

Unfortunately my earlier prediction of wildfire spreading from the US west coast as far as inland as Montana is once again spot on.

https://www.nifc.gov/fireInfo/nfn.htm

Give the long amount of time I spent in the woods in these sections conducting my hobo experiments, I could have easily became one of the 33.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2020/09/13/western-wildfires-monday-forecast-california-oregon-washington/5786311002/

I had a hunch that this year was going to be weird when I landed on the wrong side of the Lotte building during the 2020 new years count down in Seoul only to manage at catching the last 5 seconds of the fireworks after making a dash for it.

Things really started getting weird when COVID broke out in Europe and it seem to be always just 1-2 days behind me as I traversed the cities of Eastern Europe. And that saga came to a climatic end when I scuttled my way back to Singapore just hours before borders shutdown around the world.

Also not to forget mention me cutting all my long positions in oil hours just a day before it experienced its largest crashed in 30 years.

This weirdness got compounded when I started making my way overland eastwards and entire sections of the route I took got shrouded in inferno just a few days after my departure.

I wonder when I do eventually make my way back eastwards end of this year would I past through on the way back be flooded shortly after my departure…

It does remind me of 2008 when I slowly made my way westwards overland from Asia to Europe. Shortly after my departure from Szechuan the earthquake, broke out. This was followed by the Tibetan riots shortly after my departure from the Tibetan highlands and finally the Uighur riots shortly after I crossed the border from XinJiang into Kazakstan.

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Face altering social experiment

 

Noticing a discrepancy between Eurasian looking younger females in the streets of Osaka and a lack thereof in the more mature demographic, I chanced upon this discovery.

Japanese technique for makeup is way on the cutting edge…

Application of this technique elicits dopamine from the human brain when the original gene expression does not.

A similar Nobel prize winning experiment by Tinberger was performed on seagull chics. In the experiment, subjects were presented with a metal beak painted three red dots instead of two driving these chics into a wild pecking frenzy.

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Mother Nature versus City – public utilities

View of wind speeds in the area during the public utilities shutdown
The sizzling power lines
Large dips in PCG attributed to scheduled blackouts and negative ruling by judge.

 

Climate change reduces land mass under occupation.

Overview

Wind speeds across inland California has a negative correlation with public utility company share prices.

Our infrastructure is constructed above ground to avoid disruption from earthquakes when they occur. This makes them susceptible to producing sparks when strong winds blow. Combine that with increasingly dry weather conditions caused by climate change and we have the perfect recipe for power disruptions either by fire hazards or controlled shut downs. 

Utilities are natural monopolies in their region of operations giving them very inelastic demand curves. 

They also happen to be public companies which incentivized them to optimize performance for the short term thereby on a quarterly basis. This thus leaves them disincentivized to invest for the long run (aka infrastructure upgrade) without active government intervention. 

The government does actively intervene when circumstances go awry. They need these companies to continue operating least the whole population plunges back to the Stone Age. The previous instance was when the same utilities went bankrupt during the 2003 oil crisis when prices shot into the stratosphere. They ended up on the receiving end of a government bail out.

In a nutshell, the residents are basically setup to bear the brunt of this shit show. 

The last time I walked under one of those power lines on a windy day, the sound of those sizzling brought a chill down my spine

Proposed models

  • Wildfire (fire)
    • Wind speed
    • Temperature
    • Humidity levels
    • Vegetation density
  • Tornados (air)
  • Earthquakes (earth)
  • Floods (water)
  • Hurricanes (water/air)
  • Tsunami (water/earth)

Related references

 

 

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Constrains on world GDP levels

Absolute constrains

  • Break throughs in fundamental science
  • Level of human population
  • Size of geographical mass under occupation – currently Earth

Transient constrains

  • monetary and credit supply levels
    • inflation
    • deflation
  • proliferation of scientific techniques
    • full proliferation results in zero or negative ROI when further credit is employed
  • ease of population, trade and credit/money flows around the world

Related references

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Reasoning on more extreme weather patterns observed

August and September is the season for extreme weather patterns along the south eastern coast of major continents in the northern hemisphere.
Barely two weeks after Typhoon Lekima (the costliest ones in Chinese history) hits South eastern coast of the China, Hurricane Dorian (the largest one in US history) gets elevated to category 5 and is set to hit Florida, the South eastern coast of USA.

Attempt at reasoning increased magnitude of storm patterns

Both Earth rotates eastwards and the trade winds blow westwards at a constant rate. This explains why storm patterns always occur along the east coast of continents.
Intensified greenhouse effect resultant from increased carbon emission has caused greater heat to be trapped resulting in generally a warmer ocean. This leads to greater temperature difference between the upper and lower sections of the buildup and thus more severe weather patterns.
This phenomena is the most acute along the equator during the season when:
  • the northern hemisphere shifts from summer to autumn,
  • the Southern Hemisphere from winter to spring and
  • the equator is the hottest.

That happens to be during August and September.

Approaches to capping out the magnitude of the storm

  • Reduce the surface area of the water body the storm is allowed to build up momentum over. Reducing water supply in the ocean by freezing them up.
  • Reduce the delta between the hottest and coldest temperature during the year. Reduce the amount of heat trapped within the earth’s atmosphere.

 

Related references