The idea route for a startup is to employ a small skeleton crew to focus on mining for the insights on human behavior that will support a viable business model before raising money and scaling up the operations.
Big organizations tend to forget the insights that original lead to the founding of the company
If there is a company out there that is solving a problem you are trying to find a solution for but you cannot think of it off the top of your head, they might as well have been dead.
What you think might work usually is not so. It is only when you land up in a promising domain and start mining for insights in that domain do you start finding ones that are useful for building a company from.
Humans are motivated beyond pain and pleasure
No one has considered links themselves as important data elements.
It is usually the simplest actions backed by the most fundamental insights that drives the largest consumer adoption.
People feel that sense of accomplishment when they gather stuff thanks to our hunter gathering roots . They might not even need it at the end of the day.
Social book marking just died when most of their operators pivoted away from the central idea in 2005
The mass adoption of Slack and Quip might be a great channel for growing such an idea again but for the enterprise space.
The success of YouTube can be speculated to be due to:
In baked flash media code into browsers
Increase in bandwidth
Delaying the payment of royalty fees and taking down of copyrighted contents
They got sold for 1.2billion but paid of 750million in terms of royalties
Mark Cuban is a fake billionaire for selling Real networks to AOL which eventually got shut down after six months.
Tory Higgins, “Beyond Pleasure and Pain: How Motivation Works”
The level of auto traffic along the Cedar Street, Pecos Texas is a very clear proxy on the health status of the US Oil industry.
Factors negatively impacting economic activities in the area:
US Elections: Oil companies operating in area put activities on hold awaiting for forthcoming mandate
Holidays: Demand for oil drops
COVID pandemic: Demand for oil drops
Responsiveness of lagging indicators:
Lag time between events and lagging indicators within the region is typically 24 hours
Layoffs can happen within 24 hours of environment triggers
Rapid hiring can happen within 24 hours of environment trigger
On occasions, rapid hiring and layoffs could happen simultaneously in different sectors
On mornings during times of Economic boom in the Oil industry, the Pilot center across the street could be observe lined with trucks rushing to fuel up as they go about transporting out their cargo to their destinations.
On such days, the empty parking lot in front of Custom Mufflers Tire Repair center could be seen filled up with trucks getting their wheels serviced.
Investment Funds market exposure strategies can be categorized primarily into three types.
Type 1: Long only strategy: funds that buy and hold positions.
Type 2: Short only strategy: funds that primarily borrow and short shares
Type 3: Market neutral strategy: funds that hold half their position in long and half their positions in short attempting to gain from some form of arbitrage between performers and losers.
To increase profit funds would typically be leveraged. Levels of leverage is dependent on how aggressive each individual fund is. Long Term Capital Management for example, a fund that went bankrupt in 1998, was leveraged up to 20X for some of its positions.
Depressed share prices due to the unwinding of long positions by Type 3 lead to a follow on cascading effect where Type 1 had to unwind their leveraged long position.
This large scale unwinding activity could be inferred from the inverted yield curve observed on 31st Jan 2021. This inversion could also be interpreted as funds opting to maintain liquidity levels by moving heavily into positions like short term US Treasury and cash as they await for the market gyration to settle.
Across multiple literature, its been stated privacy versus health will be one of the primary dichotomy societies around the world will need to juggle with as technological advances are made in the fields of artificial intelligence, communications (surveillance) and medical science (genetic research).
What is surprising was the rate at which the Corona pandemic catalyzed this change. In light of this, it is fascinating to observe how different societies position along the spectrum. Some societies has opted for surveillance to the maximum extend possible with current technology while others opted for its polar opposite going to the extend of staging mass protests against it use.
The AI Economy, Roger Bootler
To Be a Machine, Mark O’Connell
Irrational Exuberance, Shiller, Robert J.
Life 3.0: Being Human in the Age of Artificial Intelligence, Max Tegmark